Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Time is not on her side...

The big Obama victory in the Chesapeake Primaries Tuesday night were massive in the margin of victory and in their import. Virginia is one state that Hillary should have had a good chance at taking, but it seems like the Democrat operatives in the gov't areas across the Potomac seem to be tossing Team Clinton aside for the Obama message of "hope and change."

Is Hillary irretrievably behind? Tomorrow's New York Times is saying, "Perhaps." It remains to be seen. She is relying on her "base" of Latinos and blue-collar Democrats in the last few large population states: Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania.

So far, some polls are hopeful for her, but it's not altogether clear whether she can turn things around even if she runs the traditional Democratic table with these big population states. Obama thinks he will continue to chip away by taking his media-driven momentum in the smaller caucus and primary states, putting his campaign into a four-corners offense that Hillary can't seem to compete with. It's a unique phenomenon in American politics; a young senator with little time on the national stage defeating a well-oiled machine.

A clear warning that winds had changed was a highly critical article by longtime AP reporter Ron Fournier (Fournier has been given credit for urging Al Gore to challenge the Florida results in many authoritative books on the 2000 election crisis) If this media friend of the Clintons has jumped ship, perhaps the winds of change are irrevocably blowing Obama's way.

There isn't much to talk about in the Republican side right now except for how long before Huckabee runs out of money, and when does McCain announce his Veep choice. McCain will simply "win, place, or show" his way to the nomination by accumulating delegates throughout the spring and should have it wrapped up by Pennsylvania's primary on April 22nd.

What will the Clintons be willing to do in order to win? Will they listen to the Democrat brain trust? Will any of the Super Delegates give in to pressure from them?

Once again, it's time to get out the popcorn...

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